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Red169
1007729.5
514260.9
29467.3
Blue237
546878.2
241261.3
18870.6
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions164235100150200250300350169237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+25
Teleop+48
Endgame+68
Fouls+68
AutonomousBlue +25
9Leave6
5Coral scored#10
24Coral points52
33Total auto58
TeleoperatedBlue +23
28Coral scored#28
102Coral points99
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#8
6Processor points12
12Net points32
18Algae points44
120Total teleop143
Reef
14L4#17
11L3#8
5L2#9
3L1 · trough#4
37Game pieces#48
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +68
0Foul points0
169Total score237

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#37
67.30.4
63.964.4
Auto14.0
Teleop48.6
End4.7
blue by 10.9
5468
#13
78.21.1
78.579.6
Auto19.4
Teleop47.5
End11.2
Second
5142
#17
60.90.4
59.860.3
Auto11.8
Teleop39.9
End9.2
blue by 9.8
188
#14
70.61.1
69.770.8
Auto20.8
Teleop42.3
End7.6
Third
29.50.4
27.528.0
Auto7.6
Teleop20.2
End1.6
blue by 31.8
2412
#21
61.31.1
60.461.5
Auto14.3
Teleop38.5
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
23%Coral oddsEarned83%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned93%Barge oddsEarned