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Red149
242951.4
86882.4
150246.7
Blue204
222862.1
353878.3
188037.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions215197100150250300350149204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
Teleop+47
Endgame+37
Fouls+55
AutonomousBlue +15
0Leave6
4Coral scored#6
22Coral points31
22Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +32
17Coral scored#26
61Coral points95
2Processor algae#3
7Net algae#5
12Processor points18
28Net points20
40Algae points38
101Total teleop133
Reef
7L4#8
8L3#13
4L2#7
2L1 · trough#4
30Game pieces#40
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +55
0Foul points18
149Total score204

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#11
82.43.7
87.683.9
Auto20.3
Teleop49.4
End12.7
red by 4.2
78.30.4
80.179.7
Auto18.5
Teleop53.0
End6.8
Second
2429
#64
51.43.7
55.151.4
Auto9.0
Teleop34.7
End7.6
blue by 10.7
2228
#40
62.10.4
62.562.1
Auto12.7
Teleop40.7
End8.7
Third
1502
#32
46.73.7
50.446.7
Auto10.1
Teleop30.8
End5.9
red by 9.1
1880
#42
37.60.4
38.037.6
Auto7.4
Teleop28.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
87%Coral oddsMissed72%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsEarned