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Red172
502668.2
173040.4
546878.2
Blue200
393774.7
614773.2
300839.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22016750100150200250300172200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+12
Endgame+34
Fouls+28
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
8Coral scored#8
38Coral points38
44Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +12
26Coral scored#28
94Coral points100
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#3
12Processor points18
12Net points12
24Algae points30
118Total teleop130
Reef
13L4#8
12L3#15
4L2#5
5L1 · trough#8
39Game pieces#42
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
6Foul points0
172Total score200

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5468
#13
78.22.8
83.080.1
Auto19.4
Teleop47.5
End11.2
red by 3.5
74.72.2
63.765.9
Auto15.8
Teleop49.6
End9.3
Second
5026
#24
68.22.8
63.360.4
Auto19.7
Teleop40.6
End7.8
blue by 5.0
6147
#16
73.22.2
65.267.4
Auto18.3
Teleop46.2
End8.7
Third
1730
#67
40.42.8
54.251.4
Auto9.7
Teleop25.5
End5.1
red by 1.0
3008
#51
39.32.2
29.031.3
Auto5.1
Teleop29.3
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
91%Coral oddsMissed88%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
99%Barge oddsMissed85%Barge oddsEarned