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Red169
753825.0
283272.4
29467.3
Blue157
694060.1
1001447.6
427274.3
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16020150100250300169157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+14Teleop
+16Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave3
6Coral scored#10
28Coral points48
37Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +28
24Coral scored#13
86Coral points48
3Processor algae#4
3Net algae#4
18Processor points24
12Net points16
30Algae points40
116Total teleop88
Reef
11L4#9
7L3#6
7L2#5
5L1 · trough#3
36Game pieces#31
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points4
169Total score157

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.41.3
69.370.6
Auto19.7
Teleop45.1
End7.7
blue by 1.9
4272
#23
74.32.2
77.875.6
Auto18.6
Teleop45.6
End10.1
Second
294
#37
67.31.3
56.357.6
Auto14.0
Teleop48.6
End4.7
red by 7.2
6940
#52
60.12.7
53.350.7
Auto19.2
Teleop34.3
End6.5
Third
7538
#56
25.01.3
17.919.2
Auto4.3
Teleop15.1
End5.6
blue by 22.6
47.62.2
49.447.2
Auto9.2
Teleop32.5
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
68%Coral oddsMissed77%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned90%Barge oddsMissed