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Red223
742673.1
241261.3
353878.3
Blue206
62467.4
540679.4
908537.3
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions216171100150200250300223206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+17Teleop
+17Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
9Leave3
6Coral scored#5
28Coral points26
37Total auto29
TeleoperatedRed +9
31Coral scored#28
110Coral points99
4Processor algae#3
4Net algae#6
24Processor points18
16Net points24
40Algae points42
150Total teleop141
Reef
15L4#8
9L3#12
5L2#8
8L1 · trough#5
45Game pieces#42
Bargelevel
36Cage & park36
36Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
0Foul points0
223Total score206

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.30.8
77.278.0
Auto18.5
Teleop53.0
End6.8
blue by 1.1
5406
#25
79.42.2
74.176.3
Auto19.3
Teleop49.1
End10.9
Second
73.10.8
62.563.3
Auto14.5
Teleop50.0
End8.6
red by 5.7
624
#36
67.42.2
59.461.6
Auto8.4
Teleop51.7
End7.3
Third
2412
#21
61.30.8
60.461.2
Auto14.3
Teleop38.5
End8.5
red by 24.0
9085
#69
37.32.2
28.530.7
Auto7.7
Teleop24.7
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
97%Coral oddsEarned53%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned88%Barge oddsEarned