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Red197
281154.0
299029.6
546876.2
Blue222
669643.7
241274.4
367468.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions177175140160200220197222

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+25
Endgame+25
Fouls+25
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
8Coral scored#7
41Coral points35
44Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +25
28Coral scored#28
99Coral points102
2Processor algae#5
4Net algae#5
12Processor points30
16Net points20
28Algae points50
127Total teleop152
Reef
15L4#17
8L3#7
6L2#5
7L1 · trough#6
42Game pieces#45
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points0
197Total score222

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.22.2
73.275.4
Auto18.8
Teleop45.2
End12.2
red by 1.8
74.43.0
60.963.9
Auto13.0
Teleop51.6
End9.8
Second
2811
#10
54.02.2
53.055.2
Auto11.2
Teleop35.7
End7.0
blue by 14.8
68.73.0
69.472.3
Auto18.5
Teleop39.9
End10.3
Third
2990
#22
29.62.2
26.128.4
Auto6.4
Teleop19.7
End3.4
blue by 14.2
43.73.0
36.139.0
Auto9.1
Teleop34.9
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
29%Coral oddsEarned77%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned87%Barge oddsEarned