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Red202
546870.6
956724.9
95760.1
Blue131
644336.0
943031.4
75329.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1789950150200250202131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+69Teleop
+77Endgame
+71Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave9
7Coral scored#3
33Coral points14
33Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +59
27Coral scored#16
97Coral points56
4Processor algae#1
6Net algae#6
24Processor points6
24Net points24
48Algae points30
145Total teleop86
Reef
10L4#6
11L3#6
9L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
44Game pieces#26
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +71
0Foul points6
202Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.60.7
68.969.6
Auto18.0
Teleop43.6
End9.0
red by 34.5
6443
#22
36.00.3
35.635.9
Auto6.7
Teleop22.8
End6.6
Second
957
#1
60.10.7
58.459.1
Auto17.6
Teleop34.7
End7.8
red by 28.7
9430
#15
31.40.3
30.931.2
Auto5.9
Teleop20.8
End4.6
Third
9567
#13
24.90.7
23.223.9
Auto6.0
Teleop14.1
End4.8
blue by 4.3
753
#12
29.20.3
28.729.0
Auto1.3
Teleop20.2
End7.7