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Red89
75329.2
159518.2
1044417.5
Blue153
367455.7
237433.6
956724.9
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6713105010015020089153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+62
Endgame+64
Fouls+64
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave6
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points17
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +48
13Coral scored#19
46Coral points70
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#6
6Processor points18
12Net points24
18Algae points42
64Total teleop112
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#7
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
19Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +2
16Cage & park18
16Total endgame18
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +64
0Foul points0
89Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
753
#12
29.20.6
28.028.7
Auto1.3
Teleop20.2
End7.7
blue by 26.5
55.71.9
54.556.4
Auto12.2
Teleop37.3
End6.2
Second
1595
#21
18.20.6
17.317.9
Auto6.7
Teleop8.7
End2.7
blue by 15.5
2374
#11
33.61.9
32.134.1
Auto1.6
Teleop29.2
End2.9
Third
17.50.6
16.917.5
Auto5.7
Teleop9.6
End2.2
blue by 7.4
9567
#13
24.91.9
21.323.2
Auto6.0
Teleop14.1
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsMissed82%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned65%Barge oddsEarned