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Red178
859050.7
546878.2
384763.1
Blue175
107263.6
753825.0
645960.7
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21613550100150200250300178175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+15
Endgame+3
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
0Leave6
7Coral scored#6
36Coral points31
36Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +14
19Coral scored#21
70Coral points76
2Processor algae#4
7Net algae#6
12Processor points24
28Net points24
40Algae points48
110Total teleop124
Reef
8L4#9
7L3#9
5L2#6
6L1 · trough#3
35Game pieces#37
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
6Foul points0
178Total score175

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5468
#13
78.21.9
80.178.2
Auto19.4
Teleop47.5
End11.2
red by 14.6
1072
#34
63.62.2
62.064.2
Auto15.6
Teleop38.8
End9.2
Second
3847
#20
63.11.9
61.059.1
Auto10.8
Teleop44.5
End7.9
red by 2.5
6459
#22
60.72.2
52.554.7
Auto14.2
Teleop44.4
End2.1
Third
8590
#28
50.71.9
50.848.9
Auto9.1
Teleop37.7
End3.9
red by 25.7
7538
#56
25.02.2
19.221.4
Auto4.3
Teleop15.1
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
79%Coral oddsMissed25%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned76%Barge oddsMissed