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Red245
427274.3
177892.9
283272.4
Blue189
699641.8
741533.7
761765.6
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions269123050100150200250300350245189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+56Teleop
+56Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave9
7Coral scored#6
35Coral points28
44Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +49
31Coral scored#28
113Coral points102
5Processor algae#2
8Net algae#3
30Processor points12
32Net points12
62Algae points24
175Total teleop126
Reef
15L4#15
7L3#8
8L2#5
8L1 · trough#6
51Game pieces#39
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
0Foul points0
245Total score189

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1778
#12
92.90.2
90.790.5
Auto18.7
Teleop71.4
End2.8
red by 27.3
7617
#31
65.63.7
59.162.7
Auto18.7
Teleop38.5
End8.3
Second
4272
#23
74.30.2
75.675.4
Auto18.6
Teleop45.6
End10.1
red by 32.5
6996
#18
41.83.7
39.443.1
Auto9.2
Teleop23.3
End9.3
Third
72.40.2
70.670.4
Auto19.7
Teleop45.1
End7.7
red by 38.7
7415
#63
33.73.7
24.227.9
Auto5.1
Teleop26.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
99%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned48%Barge oddsEarned