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Red191
393774.7
150246.7
42295.7
Blue160
512426.4
12579.9
241261.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions224176100150200250300191160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
+31Teleop
+31Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousBlue +24
9Leave9
4Coral scored#9
21Coral points45
30Total auto54
TeleoperatedRed +55
30Coral scored#16
109Coral points58
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
133Total teleop78
Reef
17L4#8
10L3#6
4L2#7
3L1 · trough#4
39Game pieces#29
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
2Foul points2
191Total score160

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#4
95.71.8
93.491.6
Auto20.4
Teleop62.0
End13.3
red by 15.8
125
#55
79.91.2
76.475.2
Auto22.8
Teleop47.1
End10.0
Second
74.71.8
65.964.1
Auto15.8
Teleop49.6
End9.3
red by 13.4
2412
#21
61.31.2
61.260.0
Auto14.3
Teleop38.5
End8.5
Third
1502
#32
46.71.8
45.043.3
Auto10.1
Teleop30.8
End5.9
red by 20.4
5124
#50
26.41.2
27.426.1
Auto4.6
Teleop20.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
96%Coral oddsEarned57%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned72%Barge oddsEarned