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Red253
546879.7
445048.3
321857.1
Blue218
1041640.7
204678.7
413141.5
77%Model gave it23%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions218188150200250300253218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+25Teleop
+35Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave0
6Coral scored#8
28Coral points40
37Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +28
39Coral scored#32
142Coral points116
2Processor algae#3
9Net algae#7
12Processor points18
36Net points28
48Algae points46
190Total teleop162
Reef
14L4#9
15L3#11
8L2#12
8L1 · trough#8
56Game pieces#50
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points0
253Total score218

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5468
#19
79.71.9
79.781.6
Auto19.3
Teleop49.3
End11.0
red by 1.0
78.71.4
75.877.2
Auto17.8
Teleop51.7
End9.2
Second
3218
#23
57.11.9
56.458.3
Auto13.6
Teleop38.0
End5.4
red by 15.5
4131
#41
41.51.4
40.942.3
Auto7.3
Teleop27.7
End6.5
Third
4450
#37
48.31.9
46.348.2
Auto8.6
Teleop34.1
End5.5
red by 7.6
40.71.4
38.139.5
Auto8.9
Teleop28.2
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
83%Coral oddsEarned77%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned63%Barge oddsEarned