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Red247
446962.1
2910115.2
95558.7
Blue223
945082.5
406147.2
214753.4
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions247181150200300247223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+34Teleop
+24Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
3Leave3
11Coral scored#9
54Coral points45
57Total auto48
TeleoperatedRed +25
36Coral scored#31
128Coral points113
4Processor algae#3
6Net algae#5
24Processor points18
24Net points20
48Algae points38
176Total teleop151
Reef
18L4#15
12L3#13
10L2#6
7L1 · trough#6
57Game pieces#48
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points0
247Total score223

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115.20.3
112.6112.8
Auto26.5
Teleop76.6
End12.2
red by 32.8
9450
#15
82.52.5
77.179.7
Auto19.0
Teleop53.3
End10.2
Second
4469
#43
62.10.3
57.357.6
Auto13.9
Teleop45.8
End2.4
red by 8.6
2147
#40
53.42.5
46.949.4
Auto10.2
Teleop38.1
End5.2
Third
955
#32
58.70.3
56.056.3
Auto16.8
Teleop40.5
End1.5
red by 11.5
4061
#42
47.22.5
44.547.0
Auto9.8
Teleop35.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
92%Coral oddsEarned60%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned74%Barge oddsEarned