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Red195
357430.4
902370.5
94845.9
Blue151
363663.9
36057.2
683136.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14617350100200250195151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+18Teleop
+38Endgame
+44Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave0
6Coral scored#7
28Coral points37
37Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +18
22Coral scored#19
78Coral points70
4Processor algae#3
6Net algae#5
24Processor points18
24Net points20
48Algae points38
126Total teleop108
Reef
13L4#13
4L3#5
7L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
38Game pieces#34
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +44
8Foul points2
195Total score151

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.52.9
67.470.3
Auto14.0
Teleop53.1
End3.4
red by 6.6
3636
#35
63.91.3
64.262.9
Auto13.9
Teleop48.7
End1.3
Second
948
#44
45.92.9
44.947.8
Auto9.1
Teleop31.1
End5.8
blue by 11.3
360
#46
57.21.3
60.359.0
Auto10.2
Teleop42.1
End4.9
Third
3574
#39
30.42.9
22.725.6
Auto5.5
Teleop17.9
End7.1
blue by 6.2
6831
#38
36.61.3
33.432.1
Auto4.4
Teleop28.6
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
62%Coral oddsEarned48%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned64%Barge oddsMissed