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Red193
252270.8
48862.3
131868.8
Blue158
451260.7
367467.3
491558.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20218550100150250300350193158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+35Teleop
+35Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
9Coral scored#8
45Coral points41
51Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +28
25Coral scored#21
90Coral points76
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
18Processor points12
20Net points12
38Algae points24
128Total teleop100
Reef
15L4#10
9L3#7
7L2#7
3L1 · trough#5
42Game pieces#34
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points0
193Total score158

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.80.1
68.168.0
Auto21.5
Teleop44.7
End4.6
red by 3.5
67.31.5
67.265.7
Auto16.2
Teleop40.4
End10.7
Second
68.80.1
68.668.5
Auto16.3
Teleop45.1
End7.4
red by 8.1
4512
#13
60.71.5
56.555.0
Auto17.7
Teleop40.4
End2.5
Third
488
#36
62.30.1
58.258.0
Auto12.7
Teleop47.2
End2.4
red by 3.5
4915
#28
58.81.5
56.655.1
Auto14.2
Teleop38.7
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
83%Coral oddsEarned79%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsEarned