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Red121
956731.0
247157.2
297630.3
Blue95
644333.8
634351.4
404352.0
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1261685010015020025012195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+20Teleop
+22Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
6Leave9
4Coral scored#1
19Coral points7
25Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +11
14Coral scored#14
52Coral points49
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
74Total teleop63
Reef
7L4#5
4L3#3
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
18Cage & park16
18Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
4Foul points0
121Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2471
#16
57.20.3
53.853.5
Auto9.7
Teleop40.1
End7.4
red by 5.2
4043
#10
52.03.7
53.449.6
Auto11.5
Teleop33.5
End7.0
Second
9567
#21
31.00.3
29.829.5
Auto8.8
Teleop18.3
End4.0
blue by 20.4
6343
#27
51.43.7
52.348.6
Auto11.9
Teleop35.3
End4.2
Third
2976
#48
30.30.3
27.026.7
Auto7.8
Teleop22.3
End0.3
blue by 3.4
6443
#49
33.83.7
34.330.5
Auto7.5
Teleop20.2
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
53%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned65%Barge oddsEarned