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Red233
25493.8
546875.8
908465.9
Blue204
58187.0
427079.4
803361.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions253236160180200220260280300233204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+21Teleop
+29Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
12Coral scored#12
60Coral points60
63Total auto66
TeleoperatedRed +24
32Coral scored#26
114Coral points94
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
12Processor points12
20Net points16
32Algae points28
146Total teleop122
Reef
17L4#11
11L3#11
11L2#10
5L1 · trough#6
51Game pieces#44
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
0Foul points0
233Total score204

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
93.80.4
91.791.3
Auto22.9
Teleop61.9
End9.0
red by 6.8
581
#14
87.01.3
82.581.3
Auto20.4
Teleop56.8
End9.8
Second
5468
#25
75.80.4
77.877.4
Auto17.6
Teleop47.9
End10.3
blue by 3.6
4270
#24
79.41.3
77.676.3
Auto15.9
Teleop54.7
End8.8
Third
9084
#18
65.90.4
69.669.2
Auto17.8
Teleop40.5
End7.5
red by 4.9
8033
#37
61.01.3
63.262.0
Auto16.2
Teleop36.8
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
95%Coral oddsEarned93%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned