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Red189
715743.4
940871.8
944269.5
Blue147
804837.9
347868.0
167153.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions189179100150200250189147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+40Teleop
+42Endgame
+42Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
3Coral scored#5
17Coral points23
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +40
31Coral scored#19
112Coral points70
4Processor algae#5
6Net algae#5
24Processor points30
24Net points20
48Algae points50
160Total teleop120
Reef
9L4#9
7L3#5
10L2#5
8L1 · trough#5
44Game pieces#34
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
0Foul points0
189Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9408
#17
71.80.8
66.367.1
Auto10.1
Teleop53.7
End8.0
red by 3.7
3478
#22
68.01.7
72.070.3
Auto17.6
Teleop44.5
End6.0
Second
69.50.8
70.070.8
Auto9.4
Teleop60.0
End0.2
red by 16.5
1671
#19
53.01.7
60.658.8
Auto14.4
Teleop34.6
End4.0
Third
7157
#27
43.40.8
41.041.8
Auto8.5
Teleop29.6
End5.4
red by 5.6
8048
#38
37.91.7
40.338.6
Auto6.5
Teleop29.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsMissed53%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsMissed