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Red176
60488.8
623846.5
541951.1
Blue159
207357.3
304568.4
879342.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions203167050100250300350400176159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+5Teleop
+3Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave9
6Coral scored#6
31Coral points31
34Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +11
22Coral scored#17
80Coral points61
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
12Processor points12
12Net points20
24Algae points32
104Total teleop93
Reef
9L4#8
7L3#9
7L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
14Foul points0
176Total score159

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#7
88.81.5
86.084.5
Auto23.4
Teleop55.6
End9.8
red by 20.4
3045
#10
68.40.1
66.766.6
Auto13.8
Teleop44.0
End10.6
Second
5419
#40
51.11.5
56.254.7
Auto10.3
Teleop33.3
End7.6
blue by 6.2
2073
#36
57.30.1
57.357.2
Auto12.4
Teleop37.7
End7.2
Third
6238
#23
46.51.5
42.841.3
Auto9.3
Teleop29.5
End7.7
red by 3.8
8793
#28
42.70.1
36.436.3
Auto10.6
Teleop25.8
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
62%Coral oddsMissed38%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned65%Barge oddsEarned