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Red245
291099.9
84160.1
945077.5
Blue211
167886.8
69493.5
281362.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions254259100150200300350245211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+30Teleop
+40Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave9
11Coral scored#8
55Coral points42
61Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +20
26Coral scored#24
94Coral points86
4Processor algae#2
10Net algae#10
24Processor points12
40Net points40
64Algae points52
158Total teleop138
Reef
17L4#11
7L3#9
8L2#8
5L1 · trough#4
51Game pieces#44
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
0Foul points6
245Total score211

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
99.90.4
103.2103.6
Auto27.8
Teleop61.9
End10.2
red by 6.4
694
#3
93.52.7
98.395.7
Auto21.7
Teleop60.6
End11.2
Second
77.50.4
79.880.1
Auto17.6
Teleop48.4
End11.5
blue by 9.3
86.82.7
90.087.3
Auto24.2
Teleop54.1
End8.5
Third
841
#13
60.10.4
56.657.0
Auto12.1
Teleop39.8
End8.2
blue by 1.8
2813
#26
62.02.7
56.854.1
Auto8.4
Teleop45.2
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
96%Coral oddsEarned99%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned100%Barge oddsEarned