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Red195
949677.0
84662.4
97173.8
Blue200
502652.3
97250.7
594084.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions220200100150250195200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+25
Teleop+7
Endgame+9
Fouls+5
AutonomousBlue +25
3Leave3
6Coral scored#11
30Coral points55
33Total auto58
TeleoperatedRed +18
31Coral scored#24
110Coral points86
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#7
18Processor points12
16Net points28
34Algae points40
144Total teleop126
Reef
14L4#14
10L3#6
6L2#10
7L1 · trough#5
44Game pieces#44
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
4Foul points0
195Total score200

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9496
#20
77.01.6
74.072.4
Auto18.3
Teleop51.6
End7.1
blue by 7.2
5940
#11
84.10.0
85.785.8
Auto23.3
Teleop52.1
End8.7
Second
971
#32
73.81.6
72.170.5
Auto15.1
Teleop50.6
End8.1
red by 21.5
5026
#33
52.30.0
55.955.9
Auto15.7
Teleop31.4
End5.3
Third
846
#29
62.41.6
61.359.6
Auto15.0
Teleop41.4
End5.9
red by 11.7
972
#35
50.70.0
49.149.1
Auto11.1
Teleop31.5
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
56%Coral oddsMissed88%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned