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Red231
60488.8
29468.0
473874.5
Blue250
25493.8
541951.1
441493.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2302500100300400500600700231250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+23Auto
Teleop+11
Endgame+21
Fouls+19
AutonomousRed +23
9Leave9
11Coral scored#7
56Coral points33
65Total auto42
TeleoperatedBlue +34
23Coral scored#41
84Coral points148
4Processor algae#3
10Net algae#4
24Processor points18
40Net points16
64Algae points34
148Total teleop182
Reef
13L4#19
10L3#15
7L2#6
4L1 · trough#8
48Game pieces#55
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
2Foul points0
231Total score250

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#7
88.80.4
85.686.0
Auto23.4
Teleop55.6
End9.8
blue by 5.1
254
#1
93.80.9
90.891.7
Auto22.9
Teleop61.9
End9.0
Second
4738
#16
74.50.4
71.271.7
Auto19.9
Teleop44.3
End10.3
blue by 19.3
4414
#12
93.80.9
90.591.4
Auto19.5
Teleop64.5
End9.8
Third
294
#15
68.00.4
65.866.2
Auto14.9
Teleop47.1
End6.1
red by 16.9
5419
#40
51.10.9
55.356.2
Auto10.3
Teleop33.3
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
83%Coral oddsMissed98%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned