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Red166
550759.2
350153.4
304568.4
Blue247
427079.4
546875.8
945077.5
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17725450100150200300350166247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+71
Endgame+81
Fouls+81
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave9
6Coral scored#9
31Coral points45
37Total auto54
TeleoperatedBlue +54
21Coral scored#26
75Coral points95
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#11
12Processor points18
16Net points44
28Algae points62
103Total teleop157
Reef
10L4#13
6L3#11
4L2#5
7L1 · trough#6
33Game pieces#49
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +81
0Foul points0
166Total score247

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3045
#10
68.40.7
67.466.7
Auto13.8
Teleop44.0
End10.6
blue by 11.0
4270
#24
79.41.0
76.677.6
Auto15.9
Teleop54.7
End8.8
Second
5507
#21
59.20.7
53.953.2
Auto17.9
Teleop31.2
End10.1
blue by 18.3
77.51.0
78.879.8
Auto17.6
Teleop48.4
End11.5
Third
3501
#31
53.40.7
54.854.1
Auto14.5
Teleop35.8
End3.1
blue by 22.3
5468
#25
75.81.0
76.877.8
Auto17.6
Teleop47.9
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
53%Coral oddsEarned87%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned