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Red160
703455.3
546879.7
1007952.1
Blue215
177891.8
214753.4
404352.0
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions169199100150250160215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+43
Endgame+53
Fouls+55
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
8Coral scored#9
38Coral points44
44Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +43
16Coral scored#25
58Coral points91
3Processor algae#4
6Net algae#7
18Processor points24
24Net points28
42Algae points52
100Total teleop143
Reef
6L4#10
10L3#9
6L2#10
2L1 · trough#5
33Game pieces#45
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +55
0Foul points2
160Total score215

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5468
#19
79.70.9
78.177.1
Auto19.3
Teleop49.3
End11.0
blue by 12.2
91.81.2
84.685.9
Auto21.2
Teleop66.8
End3.9
Second
7034
#18
55.30.9
41.941.0
Auto13.6
Teleop33.7
End8.0
red by 1.9
2147
#40
53.41.2
46.147.3
Auto10.2
Teleop38.1
End5.2
Third
52.10.9
42.741.8
Auto19.6
Teleop29.4
End3.1
red by 0.1
4043
#10
52.01.2
52.653.9
Auto11.5
Teleop33.5
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
48%Coral oddsEarned81%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsEarned