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Qual 372025 Pacific Northwest FIRST District Championship
Red178
36057.2
634351.4
669659.5
Blue196
903650.7
363663.9
142566.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17016750100150200250300350178196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+14
Endgame+12
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +20
0Leave0
4Coral scored#8
20Coral points40
20Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +6
24Coral scored#27
88Coral points96
3Processor algae#4
9Net algae#4
18Processor points24
36Net points16
54Algae points40
142Total teleop136
Reef
10L4#14
9L3#5
6L2#9
3L1 · trough#7
40Game pieces#43
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points6
178Total score196

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6696
#31
59.50.8
53.9→54.7
Auto11.4
Teleop47.1
End1.1
blue by 7.2
1425
#11
66.71.9
55.2→57.1
Auto20.2
Teleop38.0
End8.5
Second
360
#46
57.20.8
61.2→62.1
Auto10.2
Teleop42.1
End4.9
blue by 6.7
3636
#35
63.91.9
59.6→61.5
Auto13.9
Teleop48.7
End1.3
Third
6343
#27
51.40.8
50.7→51.5
Auto11.9
Teleop35.3
End4.2
red by 0.7
9036
#14
50.71.9
46.2→48.1
Auto3.6
Teleop43.9
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsMissed92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
37%Coral oddsMissed66%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsEarned