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Red141
48862.3
683136.6
451260.7
Blue181
95767.2
94845.9
593758.1
19%Model gave it81%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions144179100200250141181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
Teleop+14
Endgame+40
Fouls+40
AutonomousRed +13
6Leave0
6Coral scored#5
30Coral points23
36Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +27
21Coral scored#26
75Coral points92
1Processor algae#2
6Net algae#7
6Processor points12
24Net points28
30Algae points40
105Total teleop132
Reef
13L4#11
6L3#9
4L2#8
4L1 · trough#3
34Game pieces#40
BargeBlue +26
0Cage & park26
0Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points0
141Total score181

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
488
#36
62.30.3
54.554.8
Auto12.7
Teleop47.2
End2.4
blue by 4.9
957
#17
67.21.5
64.766.2
Auto16.6
Teleop39.6
End10.9
Second
4512
#13
60.70.3
47.948.1
Auto17.7
Teleop40.4
End2.5
red by 2.6
5937
#25
58.11.5
45.747.2
Auto6.0
Teleop45.2
End6.9
Third
6831
#38
36.60.3
34.835.1
Auto4.4
Teleop28.6
End3.6
blue by 9.3
948
#44
45.91.5
47.949.4
Auto9.1
Teleop31.1
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed55%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed95%Barge oddsEarned