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Qual 352025 Pacific Northwest FIRST District Championship
Red142
406147.2
413141.5
255754.7
Blue143
367467.3
382629.3
357430.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14814180100120160180200220142143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
+19Teleop
+1Endgame
Fouls+1
AutonomousBlue +15
0Leave3
4Coral scored#6
18Coral points30
18Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +34
21Coral scored#15
74Coral points54
2Processor algae#1
8Net algae#6
12Processor points6
32Net points24
44Algae points30
118Total teleop84
Reef
7L4#9
10L3#5
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
35Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points2
142Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2557
#30
54.70.1
41.1→41.0
Auto7.5
Teleop41.5
End5.7
blue by 12.6
3674
#7
67.30.3
64.8→65.1
Auto16.2
Teleop40.4
End10.7
Second
4061
#42
47.20.1
41.1→40.9
Auto9.8
Teleop35.7
End1.7
red by 16.8
3574
#39
30.40.3
22.9→23.2
Auto5.5
Teleop17.9
End7.1
Third
4131
#41
41.50.1
37.7→37.6
Auto7.3
Teleop27.7
End6.5
red by 12.2
3826
#45
29.30.3
27.9→28.2
Auto7.1
Teleop17.8
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
39%Coral oddsMissed28%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsMissed82%Barge oddsEarned