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Red192
902370.5
445048.3
241258.8
Blue269
366382.2
945082.5
293074.3
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162222100150200250300192269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+47
Endgame+79
Fouls+77
AutonomousBlue +13
6Leave0
8Coral scored#11
38Coral points57
44Total auto57
TeleoperatedBlue +34
26Coral scored#32
94Coral points114
4Processor algae#3
6Net algae#11
24Processor points18
24Net points44
48Algae points62
142Total teleop176
Reef
12L4#13
11L3#16
7L2#8
4L1 · trough#6
44Game pieces#57
BargeBlue +32
4Cage & park36
4Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +77
2Foul points0
192Total score269

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.50.7
63.964.6
Auto14.0
Teleop53.1
End3.4
blue by 11.9
9450
#15
82.53.0
71.374.3
Auto19.0
Teleop53.3
End10.2
Second
2412
#24
58.80.7
49.049.7
Auto13.3
Teleop40.2
End5.3
blue by 23.4
82.23.0
68.371.3
Auto19.6
Teleop51.9
End10.8
Third
4450
#37
48.30.7
45.946.7
Auto8.6
Teleop34.1
End5.5
blue by 26.1
2930
#20
74.33.0
65.568.5
Auto21.0
Teleop43.1
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
67%Coral oddsEarned97%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
58%Barge oddsMissed100%Barge oddsEarned