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Red217
2910115.2
154071.2
644333.8
Blue207
95558.7
546879.7
297630.3
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions233154100200250300350217207

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+18Teleop
+18Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave3
7Coral scored#6
34Coral points31
37Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +15
28Coral scored#30
100Coral points107
6Processor algae#3
7Net algae#6
36Processor points18
28Net points24
64Algae points42
164Total teleop149
Reef
12L4#14
9L3#7
8L2#9
6L1 · trough#6
48Game pieces#45
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points8
217Total score207

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115.20.1
110.0110.0
Auto26.5
Teleop76.6
End12.2
red by 35.6
5468
#19
79.72.5
75.678.1
Auto19.3
Teleop49.3
End11.0
Second
71.20.1
60.060.0
Auto15.3
Teleop47.7
End8.2
red by 12.5
955
#32
58.72.5
50.653.1
Auto16.8
Teleop40.5
End1.5
Third
6443
#49
33.80.1
36.836.7
Auto7.5
Teleop20.2
End6.1
red by 3.4
2976
#48
30.32.5
24.226.7
Auto7.8
Teleop22.3
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
80%Coral oddsEarned68%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned79%Barge oddsEarned