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Red178
142566.7
944271.9
252270.8
Blue159
363663.9
131868.8
321857.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions191177140160200220240260178159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+5Teleop
+27Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave9
8Coral scored#4
42Coral points21
48Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +13
19Coral scored#24
70Coral points85
4Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
24Processor points18
12Net points16
36Algae points34
106Total teleop119
Reef
7L4#9
9L3#10
5L2#4
6L1 · trough#5
34Game pieces#35
BargeRed +22
24Cage & park2
24Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points8
178Total score159

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9442
#29
71.90.8
69.468.7
Auto15.6
Teleop53.7
End2.7
red by 3.1
68.81.6
64.062.4
Auto16.3
Teleop45.1
End7.4
Second
70.80.8
61.560.8
Auto21.5
Teleop44.7
End4.6
red by 6.9
3636
#35
63.91.6
61.259.6
Auto13.9
Teleop48.7
End1.3
Third
1425
#11
66.70.8
55.955.2
Auto20.2
Teleop38.0
End8.5
red by 9.6
3218
#23
57.11.6
47.045.4
Auto13.6
Teleop38.0
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsMissed98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
80%Coral oddsEarned65%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsEarned71%Barge oddsMissed