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Red218
490968.6
150246.7
297475.0
Blue229
699641.8
614773.2
546878.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions212200100150250300218229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+1Teleop
Endgame+11
Fouls+11
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
7Coral scored#8
35Coral points41
44Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +1
25Coral scored#34
90Coral points121
4Processor algae#2
9Net algae#4
24Processor points12
36Net points16
60Algae points28
150Total teleop149
Reef
11L4#15
10L3#14
7L2#6
4L1 · trough#7
45Game pieces#48
BargeBlue +12
24Cage & park36
24Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points0
218Total score229

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2974
#49
75.00.7
75.376.0
Auto19.9
Teleop50.2
End5.0
blue by 3.1
5468
#13
78.22.4
80.683.0
Auto19.4
Teleop47.5
End11.2
Second
4909
#57
68.60.7
73.173.7
Auto17.3
Teleop40.6
End10.7
blue by 4.6
6147
#16
73.22.4
62.765.2
Auto18.3
Teleop46.2
End8.7
Third
1502
#32
46.70.7
42.543.2
Auto10.1
Teleop30.8
End5.9
red by 4.9
6996
#18
41.82.4
34.436.8
Auto9.2
Teleop23.3
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
81%Coral oddsEarned68%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned