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Red216
180765.4
29467.3
36053.5
Blue237
177892.9
553563.1
502668.2
3%Model gave it97%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions175244100150200300216237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+17
Endgame+27
Fouls+21
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave9
6Coral scored#5
28Coral points24
37Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +21
32Coral scored#35
115Coral points126
3Processor algae#4
6Net algae#7
18Processor points24
24Net points28
42Algae points52
157Total teleop178
Reef
12L4#14
9L3#9
9L2#12
8L1 · trough#5
47Game pieces#51
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
6Foul points0
216Total score237

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#37
67.31.6
54.856.3
Auto14.0
Teleop48.6
End4.7
blue by 25.6
1778
#12
92.90.3
89.890.1
Auto18.7
Teleop71.4
End2.8
Second
1807
#35
65.41.6
59.561.1
Auto15.5
Teleop45.3
End4.6
blue by 2.8
5026
#24
68.20.3
62.963.3
Auto19.7
Teleop40.6
End7.8
Third
360
#74
53.51.6
57.659.2
Auto9.4
Teleop40.8
End3.3
blue by 9.7
5535
#27
63.10.3
65.365.6
Auto5.8
Teleop46.8
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
59%Coral oddsEarned94%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned