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Red153
384763.1
242951.4
741533.7
Blue242
94846.2
2910117.0
44975.4
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13425050100150200300350153242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+93
Endgame+95
Fouls+89
AutonomousBlue +18
9Leave0
4Coral scored#10
21Coral points48
30Total auto48
TeleoperatedBlue +75
20Coral scored#30
73Coral points108
3Processor algae#5
3Net algae#10
18Processor points30
12Net points40
30Algae points70
103Total teleop178
Reef
8L4#12
8L3#15
5L2#7
3L1 · trough#6
30Game pieces#55
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +89
6Foul points0
153Total score242

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3847
#20
63.10.1
61.161.0
Auto10.8
Teleop44.5
End7.9
blue by 53.9
117.00.4
114.5114.9
Auto28.1
Teleop75.8
End13.1
Second
2429
#64
51.40.1
52.252.1
Auto9.0
Teleop34.7
End7.6
blue by 24.0
449
#10
75.40.4
66.166.5
Auto13.2
Teleop52.8
End9.4
Third
7415
#63
33.70.1
23.723.6
Auto5.1
Teleop26.0
End2.6
blue by 12.5
948
#15
46.20.4
44.144.5
Auto11.3
Teleop30.3
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsEarned95%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
92%Barge oddsMissed95%Barge oddsEarned