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Red62
673834.4
300839.3
753825.0
Blue132
645960.7
409115.2
241261.3
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8414505010020062132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+56
Endgame+64
Fouls+70
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points17
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +56
8Coral scored#19
29Coral points69
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
0Processor points12
4Net points8
4Algae points20
33Total teleop89
Reef
4L4#10
3L3#7
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +70
0Foul points6
62Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3008
#51
39.31.1
30.129.0
Auto5.1
Teleop29.3
End4.9
blue by 22.0
2412
#21
61.30.3
60.160.4
Auto14.3
Teleop38.5
End8.5
Second
6738
#59
34.41.1
29.428.3
Auto12.7
Teleop21.1
End0.5
blue by 26.3
6459
#22
60.70.3
53.253.4
Auto14.2
Teleop44.4
End2.1
Third
7538
#56
25.01.1
19.017.9
Auto4.3
Teleop15.1
End5.6
red by 9.8
4091
#73
15.20.3
8.89.1
Auto3.1
Teleop11.9
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed29%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed