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Red210
18870.6
694060.1
365557.2
Blue192
14879.1
173040.4
742673.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions180196050100150250300350400210192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+6Teleop
+6Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave3
12Coral scored#7
58Coral points34
58Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +15
22Coral scored#23
78Coral points81
4Processor algae#6
8Net algae#8
24Processor points36
32Net points32
56Algae points68
134Total teleop149
Reef
18L4#8
7L3#9
6L2#5
3L1 · trough#8
46Game pieces#44
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
12Foul points0
210Total score192

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188
#14
70.60.9
60.961.7
Auto20.8
Teleop42.3
End7.6
blue by 8.4
148
#5
79.10.5
68.067.5
Auto12.0
Teleop57.7
End9.4
Second
6940
#52
60.11.2
52.253.3
Auto19.2
Teleop34.3
End6.5
blue by 13.1
73.10.5
63.062.5
Auto14.5
Teleop50.0
End8.6
Third
3655
#46
57.20.9
57.758.6
Auto12.3
Teleop34.8
End10.1
red by 16.8
1730
#67
40.40.5
54.754.2
Auto9.7
Teleop25.5
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned100%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
44%Coral oddsEarned98%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
89%Barge oddsMissed99%Barge oddsMissed