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Red143
547248.7
512426.4
34354.5
Blue114
643143.7
182545.5
1052354.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1591520100200300400500600143114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+29Teleop
+29Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave6
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points17
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +40
20Coral scored#20
73Coral points71
4Processor algae#1
7Net algae#2
24Processor points6
28Net points8
52Algae points14
125Total teleop85
Reef
9L4#10
5L3#4
4L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#26
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
0Foul points0
143Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#33
54.50.3
60.060.3
Auto11.1
Teleop36.0
End7.4
blue by 0.2
54.71.9
57.255.2
Auto8.4
Teleop38.4
End7.8
Second
5472
#39
48.70.3
51.752.0
Auto11.7
Teleop32.6
End4.5
red by 3.2
1825
#60
45.51.9
44.542.5
Auto11.2
Teleop28.6
End5.6
Third
5124
#50
26.40.3
27.127.4
Auto4.6
Teleop20.6
End1.2
blue by 17.3
6431
#70
43.71.9
41.439.4
Auto7.8
Teleop35.8
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
77%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed