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Red211
171055.4
10860.6
93057.4
Blue126
263532.2
514260.9
908537.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16811750100150200250211126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+85Teleop
+85Endgame
+85Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
0Leave3
9Coral scored#2
44Coral points10
44Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +54
29Coral scored#15
105Coral points53
2Processor algae#3
6Net algae#4
12Processor points18
24Net points16
36Algae points34
141Total teleop87
Reef
10L4#6
11L3#5
9L2#4
8L1 · trough#2
46Game pieces#24
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +85
0Foul points0
211Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
108
#30
60.63.4
54.157.5
Auto18.2
Teleop38.0
End4.4
blue by 0.2
5142
#17
60.90.7
56.657.3
Auto11.8
Teleop39.9
End9.2
Second
930
#43
57.43.4
45.048.4
Auto14.5
Teleop36.9
End6.0
red by 20.1
9085
#69
37.30.7
27.828.5
Auto7.7
Teleop24.7
End4.9
Third
1710
#58
55.43.4
50.353.7
Auto13.2
Teleop36.6
End5.5
red by 23.2
2635
#61
32.20.7
19.820.5
Auto4.9
Teleop20.6
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
14%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsEarned