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Red109
59758.7
546870.6
99730.4
Blue106
956724.9
943031.4
404344.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12210050150200109106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+21Teleop
+9Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave0
5Coral scored#5
27Coral points23
27Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +17
14Coral scored#9
50Coral points33
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
68Total teleop51
Reef
8L4#6
4L3#4
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
12Foul points18
109Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.61.6
70.869.2
Auto18.0
Teleop43.6
End9.0
red by 26.4
4043
#30
44.21.3
43.742.5
Auto7.7
Teleop32.1
End4.4
Second
997
#28
30.41.6
30.428.8
Auto5.9
Teleop24.6
End-0.2
blue by 1.0
9430
#15
31.41.3
30.128.8
Auto5.9
Teleop20.8
End4.6
Third
5975
#16
8.71.6
9.07.4
Auto3.0
Teleop2.9
End2.8
blue by 16.2
9567
#13
24.91.3
22.020.7
Auto6.0
Teleop14.1
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsMissed86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
26%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsEarned