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Red147
683131.6
597022.2
95760.1
Blue60
291510.2
466223.9
237433.6
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1167105010015014760

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+57Teleop
+81Endgame
+87Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
0Leave9
7Coral scored#0
33Coral points0
33Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +33
19Coral scored#7
70Coral points25
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#5
6Processor points6
8Net points20
14Algae points26
84Total teleop51
Reef
12L4#3
6L3#2
5L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
29Game pieces#13
BargeRed +24
24Cage & park0
24Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +87
6Foul points0
147Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
957
#1
60.12.5
59.762.2
Auto17.6
Teleop34.7
End7.8
red by 26.4
2374
#11
33.60.9
32.031.2
Auto1.6
Teleop29.2
End2.9
Second
6831
#27
31.62.5
25.928.4
Auto4.1
Teleop25.4
End2.2
red by 7.7
4662
#20
23.90.9
29.528.7
Auto5.0
Teleop16.3
End2.6
Third
5970
#26
22.22.5
18.020.5
Auto6.1
Teleop8.9
End7.1
red by 12.0
2915
#32
10.20.9
11.410.6
Auto2.8
Teleop7.3
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned50%Barge oddsMissed