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Red118
255029.4
142550.7
273327.4
Blue142
252143.9
1044417.5
281151.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12312890100110140150160170118142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+30
Endgame+30
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +20
3Leave0
3Coral scored#8
17Coral points40
20Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +10
16Coral scored#16
56Coral points58
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#7
12Processor points12
20Net points28
32Algae points40
88Total teleop98
Reef
5L4#11
5L3#6
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#4
26Game pieces#33
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
6Foul points0
118Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.70.4
48.548.1
Auto16.0
Teleop27.7
End7.0
blue by 1.2
51.91.4
53.254.6
Auto11.2
Teleop32.1
End8.7
Second
2550
#19
29.40.4
30.129.8
Auto4.1
Teleop18.6
End6.7
blue by 14.4
2521
#10
43.91.4
41.542.9
Auto14.0
Teleop27.0
End2.9
Third
2733
#33
27.40.4
27.627.2
Auto4.4
Teleop21.7
End1.3
red by 9.9
17.51.4
14.616.0
Auto5.7
Teleop9.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsMissed83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed40%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
79%Barge oddsMissed73%Barge oddsMissed