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Red119
154051.6
469232.0
75329.2
Blue112
159518.2
669652.2
634344.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12113580100160180119112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+13
+9Endgame
+7Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
4Coral scored#5
21Coral points27
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +13
13Coral scored#13
47Coral points48
0Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
0Processor points12
16Net points16
16Algae points28
63Total teleop76
Reef
7L4#6
5L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#5
21Game pieces#24
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points2
119Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.60.9
44.445.3
Auto11.8
Teleop33.3
End6.5
blue by 0.7
6696
#14
52.20.6
50.650.0
Auto9.5
Teleop41.0
End1.7
Second
4692
#24
32.00.9
33.134.0
Auto6.3
Teleop25.2
End0.6
blue by 12.9
6343
#17
44.90.6
48.547.9
Auto11.3
Teleop32.0
End1.6
Third
753
#12
29.20.9
28.429.2
Auto1.3
Teleop20.2
End7.7
red by 11.0
1595
#21
18.20.6
20.219.5
Auto6.7
Teleop8.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsMissed