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Red71
302419.0
247143.9
135916.1
Blue91
363656.3
448838.0
367327.8
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72132501001502007191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+22
Endgame+18
Fouls+20
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points7
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +22
11Coral scored#15
41Coral points53
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
0Processor points6
8Net points12
8Algae points18
49Total teleop71
Reef
3L4#6
4L3#5
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#20
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points2
71Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.90.4
43.843.4
Auto7.7
Teleop30.9
End5.3
blue by 12.4
56.32.0
54.352.3
Auto10.7
Teleop43.6
End2.0
Second
3024
#34
19.00.4
19.619.2
Auto4.0
Teleop12.4
End2.6
blue by 19.1
38.02.0
38.036.0
Auto7.8
Teleop24.7
End5.6
Third
1359
#31
16.10.4
13.312.9
Auto4.0
Teleop7.5
End4.6
blue by 11.7
3673
#25
27.82.0
27.225.1
Auto4.8
Teleop21.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsMissed