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Red227
949677.0
546875.8
350153.4
Blue215
69493.5
449980.6
541951.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions210252100150300350227215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+12Teleop
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
10Coral scored#9
51Coral points44
51Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +5
34Coral scored#28
122Coral points101
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#8
12Processor points12
16Net points32
28Algae points44
150Total teleop145
Reef
15L4#14
9L3#12
11L2#8
9L1 · trough#3
50Game pieces#47
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points0
227Total score215

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9496
#20
77.01.8
74.476.2
Auto18.3
Teleop51.6
End7.1
blue by 16.5
694
#3
93.51.0
95.294.2
Auto21.7
Teleop60.6
End11.2
Second
5468
#25
75.81.8
74.576.2
Auto17.6
Teleop47.9
End10.3
blue by 4.8
80.61.0
83.382.3
Auto15.3
Teleop53.7
End11.5
Third
3501
#31
53.41.8
51.753.4
Auto14.5
Teleop35.8
End3.1
red by 2.3
5419
#40
51.11.0
52.251.1
Auto10.3
Teleop33.3
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
78%Coral oddsMissed95%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned