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Red204
347868.0
69493.5
204661.2
Blue195
97359.8
546875.8
207357.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions244202050100150300350400204195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+21Teleop
+21Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave0
9Coral scored#6
47Coral points30
47Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +4
28Coral scored#31
99Coral points111
3Processor algae#1
6Net algae#5
18Processor points6
24Net points20
42Algae points26
141Total teleop137
Reef
12L4#15
15L3#9
4L2#5
6L1 · trough#8
46Game pieces#43
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points12
204Total score195

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#3
93.51.3
96.295.0
Auto21.7
Teleop60.6
End11.2
red by 17.7
5468
#25
75.80.3
74.574.1
Auto17.6
Teleop47.9
End10.3
Second
3478
#22
68.01.3
66.665.3
Auto17.6
Teleop44.5
End6.0
red by 8.2
973
#39
59.80.3
57.457.1
Auto12.1
Teleop38.8
End9.0
Third
2046
#41
61.21.3
60.258.9
Auto12.6
Teleop43.0
End5.6
red by 3.9
2073
#36
57.30.3
56.255.8
Auto12.4
Teleop37.7
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
97%Coral oddsEarned43%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned