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Red173
502652.3
58187.0
29468.0
Blue205
60488.8
908465.9
350153.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions210211160180200220240173205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+14
Endgame+26
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave0
8Coral scored#10
41Coral points51
41Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +4
19Coral scored#22
68Coral points78
3Processor algae#4
8Net algae#5
18Processor points24
32Net points20
50Algae points44
118Total teleop122
Reef
13L4#13
4L3#10
6L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
38Game pieces#41
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points6
173Total score205

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
581
#14
87.02.0
81.879.8
Auto20.4
Teleop56.8
End9.8
blue by 1.8
604
#7
88.80.4
83.483.1
Auto23.4
Teleop55.6
End9.8
Second
294
#15
68.02.0
68.566.5
Auto14.9
Teleop47.1
End6.1
red by 2.2
9084
#18
65.90.4
69.469.1
Auto17.8
Teleop40.5
End7.5
Third
5026
#33
52.32.0
53.051.0
Auto15.7
Teleop31.4
End5.3
blue by 1.1
3501
#31
53.40.4
51.751.3
Auto14.5
Teleop35.8
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
46%Coral oddsMissed78%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsEarned