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Red92
999817.5
546865.8
95753.5
Blue43
263515.5
13596.4
154046.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions165850501001502002509243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+55Teleop
+55Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
6Leave9
6Coral scored#0
31Coral points0
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +27
9Coral scored#2
31Coral points8
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
39Total teleop12
Reef
6L4#1
5L3#1
2L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
17Game pieces#3
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +49
0Foul points6
92Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.83.2
69.566.3
Auto18.0
Teleop38.0
End9.8
red by 19.1
1540
#11
46.72.7
50.747.9
Auto6.9
Teleop34.1
End5.8
Second
957
#4
53.53.2
55.852.6
Auto17.5
Teleop27.8
End8.2
red by 38.0
2635
#17
15.52.7
17.815.1
Auto3.4
Teleop9.0
End3.0
Third
17.55.3
14.08.8
Auto6.3
Teleop9.6
End1.7
red by 11.1
1359
#22
6.42.7
9.66.9
Auto3.2
Teleop0.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsEarned