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Red103
669638.9
252133.1
95544.5
Blue100
273319.1
703451.0
363653.0
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134137100120160103100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+5Teleop
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave9
7Coral scored#4
34Coral points21
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +2
11Coral scored#14
38Coral points52
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
6Processor points6
20Net points8
26Algae points14
64Total teleop66
Reef
8L4#5
5L3#4
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#5
24Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
103Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
955
#13
44.51.5
46.545.1
Auto15.2
Teleop29.1
End0.2
blue by 8.6
3636
#12
53.02.0
55.753.8
Auto15.6
Teleop37.6
End-0.1
Second
6696
#19
38.91.5
45.043.5
Auto9.5
Teleop29.6
End-0.3
blue by 12.2
51.02.0
51.349.4
Auto17.4
Teleop27.8
End5.9
Third
2521
#15
33.11.5
33.732.3
Auto11.7
Teleop19.0
End2.3
red by 14.0
2733
#23
19.12.0
22.320.4
Auto4.7
Teleop13.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
31%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed