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Red88
99993.7
404332.5
247150.6
Blue56
74916.3
237429.1
255016.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101670501502002503008856

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+30Teleop
+32Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave3
6Coral scored#3
31Coral points13
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +9
9Coral scored#7
31Coral points26
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
45Total teleop36
Reef
5L4#4
5L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#12
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
0Foul points0
88Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.60.2
50.750.6
Auto16.0
Teleop29.0
End5.6
red by 21.5
29.10.7
30.329.6
Auto4.2
Teleop23.3
End1.6
Second
32.50.2
33.833.7
Auto10.7
Teleop18.5
End3.4
red by 16.0
2550
#16
16.50.7
17.617.0
Auto3.2
Teleop9.9
End3.4
Third
9999
#24
3.70.3
5.95.6
Auto2.3
Teleop1.7
End-0.3
blue by 12.5
749
#21
16.30.7
18.217.5
Auto5.0
Teleop10.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed