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Red118
669652.2
99730.4
255029.4
Blue159
546870.6
247143.9
159518.2
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1121386080100120160180200220118159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+21
Endgame+41
Fouls+41
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave6
5Coral scored#6
23Coral points31
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +7
15Coral scored#22
55Coral points78
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
18Processor points6
16Net points12
34Algae points18
89Total teleop96
Reef
7L4#9
6L3#8
4L2#7
3L1 · trough#4
27Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +41
0Foul points0
118Total score159

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6696
#14
52.20.6
41.141.6
Auto9.5
Teleop41.0
End1.7
blue by 18.4
70.62.0
61.863.8
Auto18.0
Teleop43.6
End9.0
Second
997
#28
30.40.6
29.530.1
Auto5.9
Teleop24.6
End-0.2
blue by 13.6
43.92.0
38.840.8
Auto7.7
Teleop30.9
End5.3
Third
2550
#19
29.40.6
27.528.1
Auto4.1
Teleop18.6
End6.7
red by 11.2
1595
#21
18.22.0
17.519.5
Auto6.7
Teleop8.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed26%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
67%Barge oddsMissed89%Barge oddsEarned