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Red179
960036.1
95760.1
404344.2
Blue204
154051.6
281151.9
363656.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13615480100120180200220179204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+23
Endgame+21
Fouls+25
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave3
9Coral scored#7
44Coral points34
47Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +33
21Coral scored#29
76Coral points105
4Processor algae#4
4Net algae#5
24Processor points24
16Net points20
40Algae points44
116Total teleop149
Reef
8L4#10
9L3#11
7L2#11
6L1 · trough#4
38Game pieces#45
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points4
179Total score204

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
957
#1
60.12.2
50.152.3
Auto17.6
Teleop34.7
End7.8
red by 3.8
56.33.0
55.658.6
Auto10.7
Teleop43.6
End2.0
Second
4043
#30
44.22.2
44.947.1
Auto7.7
Teleop32.1
End4.4
blue by 7.7
51.93.0
45.448.4
Auto11.2
Teleop32.1
End8.7
Third
9600
#18
36.12.2
26.528.8
Auto7.3
Teleop22.8
End6.0
blue by 15.5
51.63.0
33.236.2
Auto11.8
Teleop33.3
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed45%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsEarned